## Description: <br>
World Cup Groups skill for Polymarket-style prediction markets that paper-runs by default, buys group favorites before repricing, trims after market-obvious qualification, and trades confirmed group-winner sets back toward coherent probabilities. <br>

This skill is ready for commercial/non-commercial use. <br>

## Publisher: <br>
[bridgeaisocial](https://clawhub.ai/user/bridgeaisocial) <br>

### License/Terms of Use: <br>
MIT-0 <br>


## Use Case: <br>
External prediction-market operators and agent developers use this skill to run a simulation-first World Cup group-market repricing strategy with configurable exposure, trade size, slippage, and venue settings. It is intended for users who understand automated market trading and can review configuration before any live Polymarket execution. <br>

### Deployment Geography for Use: <br>
Global <br>

## Known Risks and Mitigations: <br>
Risk: Live prediction-market execution can lose money through spreads, fees, slippage, illiquidity, adverse selection, or total loss of staked funds. <br>
Mitigation: Run in dry-run or sim mode first, review trade and exposure caps, and enable live Polymarket execution only after intentionally selecting live mode and venue settings. <br>
Risk: The skill requires sensitive credentials and can interact with wallet-linked trading infrastructure. <br>
Mitigation: Protect SIMMER_API_KEY, use the minimum privileges available, and confirm that the agent and wallet setup are appropriate before live trading. <br>
Risk: World Cup group-market discovery may miss or misclassify markets when canonical tags or market text are incomplete. <br>
Mitigation: Review discovered group sets before live use; the skill only trades coherence when a complete four-leg group-winner set is confirmed from market text. <br>
Risk: Simulation validates strategy logic but may not reflect real order-book depth, spread, or execution microstructure. <br>
Mitigation: Treat sim results as logic checks, keep slippage gates enabled, and tune thresholds in paper mode before committing real funds. <br>


## Reference(s): <br>
- [ClawHub skill listing](https://clawhub.ai/bridgeaisocial/polymarket-worldcup-group-repricer) <br>
- [Publisher profile](https://clawhub.ai/user/bridgeaisocial) <br>
- [Skill documentation](artifact/SKILL.md) <br>
- [Risk disclaimer](artifact/DISCLAIMER.md) <br>


## Skill Output: <br>
**Output Type(s):** [Text, Shell commands, Configuration, API calls, Files] <br>
**Output Format:** [Console text, environment configuration, SDK trade calls, and local JSON state files] <br>
**Output Parameters:** [1D] <br>
**Other Properties Related to Output:** [Dry-run uses separate paper state; live execution requires explicit live mode, Polymarket venue selection, and a Simmer API key.] <br>

## Skill Version(s): <br>
0.1.0 (source: release evidence and skill frontmatter) <br>

## Ethical Considerations: <br>
Users should evaluate whether this skill is appropriate for their environment, review any generated or modified files before relying on them, and apply their organization's safety, security, and compliance requirements before deployment. <br>
